Tag: 上海千花mm自荐

  • Theres Still Hope For The Soccer Team That Cant Score

    TEAMLEAGUEAFTER 6 GAMESFULL SEASONRELEGATED ’14-15HamburgBund-4.37-9.62 ’14-14BurnleyEPL-2.55-11.36✓ ’12-13NorwichEPL-2.52+0.03 ’12-13AugsburgBund-2.08+1.37 Among teams in the top four European leagues. Expected goals does not count penalty shots.Source: Opta Sports ’16-17HamburgBund-2.32+2.36 ACTUAL GOALS MINUS EXPECTED GOALS ’15-16MalagaLiga-4.23-3.86 ’13-14SunderlandEPL-2.18-5.41 ’16-17IngolstadtBund-4.21-6.83✓ ’11-12Sporting GijonLiga-2.88+2.89✓ ’14-15SassuoloSerie-2.58+3.13 ’10-11EvertonEPL-3.93-1.57 The best of soccer’s worstTeams that scored less than four points in their first six games but had at least two more expected goals than goals scored, since 2010-11 ’12-13ChievoSerie-2.44+0.94 Crystal Palace is making history in the English Premier League. In six games, the Eagles have conceded 13 goals and scored zero. No other team in the 129-year history of the English top flight has ever lost its first six matches without scoring a single goal.It’s not even October, but Palace is already on its second coach of the season, having fired Frank de Boer and brought in former English national team manager Roy Hodgson after the fourth loss. It hasn’t helped. Palace suffered its worst loss last weekend in a 5-0 drubbing at the hands of Manchester City. To make matters worse, the team’s seventh game will be Saturday at Manchester United, which has only given up two goals this season.But perhaps the most curious thing about Crystal Palace is that many of the EPL’s most embarrassing campaigns belong to teams that had been recently promoted and were woefully underprepared for the top level. In 2007-08, for example, Derby won one game and finished with 11 points after making the jump (though even they scored 20 goals). By contrast, Palace has been up for four years and has high-caliber scoring talent like striker Christian Benteke (66 career goals in the EPL) and winger Wilfried Zaha (signed to a $38 million contract over the next five years). Even more unusual is this: The team’s underlying numbers this season are not really bad — despite the awful results.With 80 shot attempts in six matches, the Eagles rank ninth in the Premier League. And Crystal Palace hasn’t just failed to score because all of its attempts were taken from long distance or hampered by heavy defensive pressure. Eight attempts were marked as “big chances,” which the shooter should be expected to convert about 42 percent of the time. And according to expected goals (xG), a stat that measures the quality of scoring chances, one would expect Crystal Palace have scored about six goals, not zero. Benteke — who is now out six weeks with a knee injury — has the most xG (1.9) of anyone in the Premier League who has not yet scored a goal, and he has failed to convert three clear chances. In his five years in the Premier League before this season, Benteke had scored on 30 of 72 non-penalty clear chances.So if you want to project the rest of Crystal Palace’s season, you should not simply compare the Eagles to the worst teams in history, but rather to those teams that struggled early while putting up underlying numbers that are less dismal than their overall results. By applying this method to the top four European leagues,1EPL, Serie A, La Liga and Bundesliga. we get a list of 14 teams that, since 2010-11, took no more than three points from their first six games and created at least two more expected goals than goals scored. Here’s the good news for Crystal Palace: These teams mostly managed to right the ship. On average, the finishing problems they displayed in their first six matches eventually dissipated — eight of the 14 teams outperformed their expected goals over the rest of the season. Only Burnley scored less than a point per match over the rest of its season.2There are only 34 matches in a Bundesliga season, so even though Augsburg, Ingolstadt and Stuttgart all took similar total points to Burnley over the rest of their seasons, they did so over four fewer matches.But for several teams on this list, their recovery was not dramatic enough — five of the 14 were relegated despite improvements. Likewise, FiveThirtyEight’s Soccer Power Index projections think Palace has a 48 percent chance of relegation, which is the highest in the Premier League, even though the Eagles’ rating is better than those of Bournemouth, Brighton and Huddersfield.The problem Crystal Palace faces, then, may not be its squad but its record. In the last seven seasons, teams with Palace’s profile tended to improve a lot, but more than a third of the time, they were relegated anyway. The team cannot count on simply improving to the level that its underlying stats suggest it ought to achieve. The Eagles will require real improvements — perhaps buying new players in January or developing new tactics now — if they hope to escape the drop after this unfortunate start. ’17-18Crystal PalaceEPL-6.18?? ’10-11DeportivoLiga-5.07-6.41✓ ’15-16StuttgartBund-5.29-9.37✓ read more

  • PSG And Real Madrid Werent Supposed To Have This Many Problems

    This analysis might suggest that Paris Saint-Germain should abandon hope — the attack has been totally dependent on Neymar, and now he’s out. However, PSG may be the only club in the world that is rich enough to have a reasonable Neymar replacement sitting on the bench. Angel Di Maria, who played in Neymar’s wide forward position this weekend against Troyes, put up similarly huge numbers for PSG in 2015-16 (before Neymar’s arrival). While that season was a career-best for Di Maria, he has consistently put up more than 0.5 expected goals and assists per 90 minutes (averaging over 0.7) and 4 to 6 progressive passes and runs per 90 minutes. Most clubs would have to reshuffle their tactics upon losing Neymar, transferring some of his scoring load to one player and some of his ball progression work to others. But PSG can plug in Di Maria and keep everything else roughly the same. If PSG is to get the big win it needs on Tuesday, the man in the center of it is likely to be Di Maria.Scratching back from a two-goal aggregate Real Madrid lead might normally seem like an insurmountable task, but Real hasn’t been the same team this season. Los Blancos have already fallen 15 points off Barcelona’s pace at the top of the La Liga table, effectively conceding the league title with months to go in the season. Real’s defense has been unusually permeable this season, conceding 29 league goals. That’s the club’s worst defensive record through 27 matches since 2010-11. Real has conceded 43 clear scoring chances — defined as a situation like a one-on-one in which a player is expected to score — also its highest number since 2010-11.On the attacking side, the team appears to be reeling as well — but these numbers are a little misleading. Typically, the very best teams in the world outperform expected goals. After all, these teams have the best strikers, and the best strikers convert the easy chances and also score more often in situations when goals are not expected. Real Madrid is getting their normal amount of chances this season: The team has 63 expected goals and has averaged 61 through 27 matches over the past seven seasons. What has changed then is that the finishing has gotten worse. This year, Real has converted only 58 nonpenalty goals from those chances. Cristiano Ronaldo, who has been uncharacteristically unproductive with his chances, accounts for most of the gap, with 13 nonpenalty goals and 17 expected goals.These statistics provide the context for Real Madrid’s disappointing position in La Liga. The weakened defense is enough to make Real fall short of first-place Barcelona, but it is uncharacteristically poor shooting from superstars like Ronaldo that has dropped Los Blancos out of title competition entirely.The stakes could not be higher for this match. PSG is desperate and missing its star. Real Madrid appears more vulnerable than usual — even if the attack is most likely better than its relatively disappointing top-line numbers show.Neither team has much to play for this season other than Champions League glory, and both clubs were constructed precisely for this task. The stage is set for a great European clash between two of the richest and most successful clubs — even if it’s not what these two heavyweights envisioned when this all started.Check out our latest soccer predictions. Few clubs came into this season with grander ambitions than Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain. Both clubs were among the top contenders to win the Champions League when the competition began. Now, one will be eliminated from competition after the two face off Tuesday in the second leg of their round of 16 matchup. And the problems run deeper than just elimination — PSG is looking to survive an injury to its superstar Neymar, and Real Madrid has already fallen out of title contention in La Liga. Whichever team fails to advance from the match will have questions to answer about what went wrong.So how did we get here? Let’s start with the summer transfer window after the 2016-17 season. Real quite reasonably avoided making major changes to its roster after winning three of the last four Champions League trophies. PSG, having once again been eliminated from the Champions League before the semifinals, embarked on an unprecedented spending spree — laying out hundreds of millions of dollars to acquire Neymar from Barcelona and Kylian Mbappe from Monaco.Despite these purchases, PSG is once again struggling in the Champions League. A 3-1 first-leg defeat in Madrid has left the French with a roughly 25 percent chance of advancing to the quarterfinals, according to FiveThirtyEight’s club soccer predictions. To reach the quarterfinals, PSG must win by three or win by two while holding Real scoreless. If PSG wins 3-1, the teams will be tied in both aggregate and away goals over the two legs, and the match will go to extra time and possibly penalty kicks to decide who will advance. For PSG, the Champions League appears to be slipping away. And worse, Neymar recently broke a bone in his foot, which will sideline him for at least six weeks.For both ball progression through midfield and shot creation around the penalty area, PSG runs through Neymar. He has scored 19 goals and assisted 13 in Ligue 1, with a non-penalty scoring and assist rate of 1.34 per 90 minutes played. These numbers are no fluke: Neymar hasn’t benefited particularly from good fortune in either his own or his teammates’ finishing. Neymar has taken shots valued at around 13 expected goals, a statistical estimate of the quality of scoring chances, and created chances worth about 11.5 expected goals. His expected goals and assists rate of 1.18 per 90 minutes is the highest of any player in the top five European leagues1The English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A and French Ligue 1. (that means he’s doing better than Lionel Messi).Neymar also moves the attack forward through midfield or into the penalty area before the shot more effectively than anyone else in the top leagues. He has provided about 7.7 progressive passes and runs per 90 minutes, just edging out Messi, who has provided 7.2. (Progressive passes and runs occur when a player either moves the attack forward by 10 or more yards beyond its furthest point of progression or moves the ball into the penalty area for the first time in a possession. A progressive run must also include a successful take-on of an opponent.)These comparisons to Messi are not superfluous — Neymar’s production at PSG has reached such a high level that Messi is his only peer. This chart shows the company that Neymar is keeping this season. It displays all 9,000-plus player-seasons in the top five leagues in which a player had at least 1,500 minutes. There are 10 seasons in the top right corner, where players have more than 0.9 expected goals plus expected assists per 90 minutes and more than five progressive passes and runs per 90 minutes. Eight of them are Messi, starting with his 2010-11 season and running through the current one. And nestled among them is Neymar’s current season. read more

  • Emery praises Arsenal teenage star Bukayo Saka

    first_imgArsenal manager Unai Emery was full of praise for Bukayo Saka’s “big personality” after their 1-0 Europa League win against Qarabag FKThe 17-year-old winger made his full debut for the Arsenal senior team on Thursday night and impressed greatly in the second-half at the Emirates Stadium.In fact, Saka nearly capped off a superb performance by becoming the club’s youngest goalscorer in Europe after shooting the ball into Qarabag goalkeeper Vagner’s face in the dying moments.“Every young player, we have the responsibility to give them chances, first to train with us and to be demanding with their performances,” said Emery on Arsenal.com.“We give them these chances in the games like today, when we can do that. They show us in every match positive things.“Today Saka also played with a good performance, with a very big personality and we were speaking at half-time.Jadon SanchoMerson believes Arsenal should sign Sancho Manuel R. Medina – September 14, 2019 Borussia Dortmund winger Jadon Sancho might be the perfect player to play for the Gunners, according to former England international Paul Merson.“His personality is very important for us to continue trying to go 1v1 and break lines with his quality.“He played with a very big personality and sometimes with a very good performance.“It’s very important for his confidence and for us also, because we can look at this player and see quality to help us.”Alexandre Lacazette scored the only goal of the game as Arsenal finished as Group E winners with 16 points from six games.The Gunners will next take a trip to St Mary’s to face Southampton in the Premier League on Sunday.last_img read more